NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Clint Bowyer surprises at TicketGuardian 500


The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and two fast 1.5-mile tracks in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race in the tighter quarters of this one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the previous five March races at this track and will be the 9-4 favorite to collect another win in the most current 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin is becoming 16-1, while Kurt Busch reaches 30-1 NASCAR in Phoenix chances after a strong start to his season that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, make sure you check at the NASCAR in Phoenix projected leaderboard from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track record and current results into consideration.

It made some enormous calls in NASCAR last year, such as correctly casting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. Plus it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. Is far up.

Grew up around race tracks. Events in places like ISM Raceway are in his bloodstream. His version has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we could inform you the model is top on Clint Bowyer, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot 25-1 NASCAR chances. He is a target for anybody searching for a massive payday.

Bowyer broke a five-season drought without a win last year and proceeded to catch a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to some 12th-place end in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he has added a top-five finish at Atlanta and has shown remarkable speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.

Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in one of this year’s Daytona Duels and shut out last year’s NASCAR schedule with an eight-place finish at Homestead. He will also come armed to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar vehicle set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.

One of the shocking 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix picks from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner at ISM Raceway and the very best Vegas favorite, makes a solid run but falls short of winning it all.

Harvick has made a career from getting to the front of the pack consistently at this track. In Reality, he has finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway

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